Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 01:30 UK
Seattle Sounders FC 57Draw 22Red Bull New York 21
The call
57%
Seattle Sounders FC to win
3.3
Goals expected
14d 00hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Seattle Sounders FC or draw79%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
BTTS61%
Seattle Sounders FC win to nil26%
Red Bull New York or draw43%
Under 3.5 goals58%
Correct score 2–110%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L L W L L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.9 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
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Common questions

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

Bawler's model rates this match: Seattle Sounders FC are favoured (57% win probability vs 21% for Red Bull New York, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Seattle Sounders FC 1-1 Red Bull New York (9.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.28.

How does Bawler predict Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Seattle Sounders FC 57%, the draw 22% and Red Bull New York 21%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.08 and away expected goals 1.21.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Seattle Sounders FC vs Red Bull New York?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.28. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Seattle Sounders FC form →Red Bull New York form →