Seattle Sounders FC vs 
Portland Timbers
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 84% probability—Seattle's 2.05 xG and 0.92 edge in shot quality over Portland should produce the second goal required.
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders average 4.8 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Portland Timbers average 4.6 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Seattle Sounders and Portland Timbers — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Seattle Sounders 56% · draw 26% · Portland Timbers 18%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Portland TimbersModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.