FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Riga FC 1–1 JablonecMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Over 21.5 Total Shots✓
Over 5.5 Total Corners✓
Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Riga FC win
31%
Draw
28%
Result
Jablonec win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.4
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.3 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 0.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.