How it finished
Red Bull New York beat San Diego FC 4–1. Red Bull New York had 28 shots (12 on target) to San Diego FC's 14 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 2.1.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Around this fixture
MLS table →Common questions
Who won Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?
Red Bull New York beat San Diego FC 4–1. Red Bull New York had 28 shots (12 on target) to San Diego FC's 14 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 2.1.
What was the final score in Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?
Red Bull New York 4–1 San Diego FC, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Red Bull New York 39%, the draw 24% and San Diego FC 38%.
What were the stats in Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–2.1, Shots 28–14, Shots on target 12–5, Shots inside box 20–12, Big chances 3–2, Corners 4–7, Saves 4–8, Fouls 20–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Red Bull New York vs San Diego FC?
Yes — both Red Bull New York and San Diego FC scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.