Nashville SC beat Red Bull New York 1–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Red Bull New York had 13 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 11 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.3, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Nashville SC beat Red Bull New York 1–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Red Bull New York had 13 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 11 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.3, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.
Red Bull New York 0–1 Nashville SC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Red Bull New York 33%, the draw 25% and Nashville SC 42%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.3, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–10, Saves 2–1, Fouls 4–12, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Red Bull New York failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Nashville SC 42%, it finished Nashville SC (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Missed.