Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK
Red Bull New York 33Draw 25Nashville SC 42
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Nashville SC beat Red Bull New York 1–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Red Bull New York had 13 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 11 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.3, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.

Red Bull New…Full-time statsNashville SC
54%Possession46%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.3
13Shots11
1Shots on target3
11Shots inside box7
3Big chances2
7Corners10
2Saves1
4Fouls12
0Offsides5
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNashville SC 42%Nashville SC (42% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score61%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals81%
Nashville SC to score81%
Red Bull New York to score76%
Under 3.5 goals63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?

Nashville SC beat Red Bull New York 1–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Red Bull New York had 13 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 11 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.3, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?

Red Bull New York 0–1 Nashville SC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Red Bull New York 33%, the draw 25% and Nashville SC 42%.

What were the stats in Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.3, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–10, Saves 2–1, Fouls 4–12, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?

No. It finished 0–1, so Red Bull New York failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Nashville SC 42%, it finished Nashville SC (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Red Bull New York form →Nashville SC form →