Red Bull New York vs Charlotte FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 82% probability because both sides project nearly identical attacking threat at 1.73 and 1.66 xG respectively, virtually guaranteeing a multi-goal match.
Red Bull New YorkstepCharlotte FCNew York Red Bulls average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Charlotte average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 21 March 2026, New York Red Bulls have won 0, Charlotte have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21 March 2026 | Charlotte 6–1 New York Red Bulls | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: New York Red Bulls 38% · draw 28% · Charlotte 35%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Red Bull New York 0–2 Charlotte FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.