Real Madrid beat Internazionale 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Real Madrid had 16 shots (8 on target) to Internazionale's 21 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Real Madrid beat Internazionale 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Real Madrid had 16 shots (8 on target) to Internazionale's 21 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.8.
Real Madrid 2–1 Internazionale, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 48%, the draw 23% and Internazionale 29%.
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.8, Shots 16–21, Shots on target 8–7, Shots inside box 14–15, Big chances 8–4, Corners 4–11, Saves 7–6, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Real Madrid and Internazionale scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid or draw 71%, it finished Real Madrid won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.