Real Madrid vs Internazionale prediction — Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 20:00 UK

Champions League · Tue 8 Sept · 20:00 UK
Real Madrid 48Draw 23Internazionale 29
Our call before kickoff
71%
Real Madrid or draw
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
66%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

Real Madrid beat Internazionale 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Real Madrid had 16 shots (8 on target) to Internazionale's 21 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.8.

Real MadridFull-time statsInternazionale
36%Possession64%
2.9Expected goals (xG)1.8
16Shots21
8Shots on target7
14Shots inside box15
8Big chances4
4Corners11
7Saves6
12Fouls10
2Offsides4
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callReal Madrid or draw 71%Real Madrid won (48% called)
Total goals3.43
Both teams to score66%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real MadridInternazionale
1.9
Goals+0.5
1.5
11.5
Shots+1.8
9.6
6.8
On target+3.8
3.1
6.7
Corners+2.9
3.7
Real MadridInternazionale
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.5
5.3
Shots+0.6
4.7
3.2
On target+1.7
1.5
3.1
Corners+1.4
1.7
Real MadridInternazionale
1.4
Goals+0.4
1.0
6.2
Shots+1.2
5.0
3.6
On target+2.1
1.5
3.5
Corners+1.6
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Real Madrid to score86%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Internazionale to score77%
Over 2.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Real Madrid
59%
to score before half-time
Internazionale
49%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Real MadridInternazionale
5.31st-half shots4.7
3.21st-half shots on target1.5
3.11st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

71%Chance of 4+ shots63%
43%Chance of 6+ shots34%
79%Chance of 2+ shots on target42%
39%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
77%Chance of 2+ corners48%
38%Chance of 4+ corners13%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Real Madrid5.36.2
Shots · Internazionale4.75.0
Shots on target · Real Madrid3.23.6
Shots on target · Internazionale1.51.5
Corners · Real Madrid3.13.5
Corners · Internazionale1.72.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Madrid 5 · Draws 0 · Internazionale 0
Internazionale in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Dec 2021Real Madrid 2–0 Inter
Sept 2021Inter 0–1 Real Madrid
Nov 2020Inter 0–2 Real Madrid
Nov 2020Real Madrid 3–2 Inter
Jul 2015Inter 0–3 Real Madrid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Madrid vs Internazionale?

Real Madrid beat Internazionale 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Real Madrid had 16 shots (8 on target) to Internazionale's 21 (7), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Internazionale?

Real Madrid 2–1 Internazionale, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 48%, the draw 23% and Internazionale 29%.

What were the stats in Real Madrid vs Internazionale?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.8, Shots 16–21, Shots on target 8–7, Shots inside box 14–15, Big chances 8–4, Corners 4–11, Saves 7–6, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Real Madrid vs Internazionale?

Yes — both Real Madrid and Internazionale scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Madrid vs Internazionale right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid or draw 71%, it finished Real Madrid won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Real Madrid form →Internazionale form →