FT · Italy: Serie A · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Internazionale 3–0 ParmaMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Internazionale to win at 75%. Bawler had Internazionale at 75%, the draw at 17% and Parma at 8%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Internazionale win
75%
Result
Draw
17%
Parma win
8%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.4 – 0.7
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Internazionale to win
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 38%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.