How it finished
Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Madrid at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 10 shots (5 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 3.2, so Real Madrid created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Real Madrid at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 10 shots (5 on target) to Real Madrid's 20 (8), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 3.2, so Real Madrid created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Real Betis 1–0 Real Madrid, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Betis 33%, the draw 26% and Real Madrid 41%.
What were the stats in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–3.2, Shots 10–20, Shots on target 5–8, Shots inside box 4–16, Big chances 1–7, Corners 6–10, Saves 6–4, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–4.
Did both teams score in Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
No. It finished 1–0, so Real Madrid failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Betis vs Real Madrid right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid or draw 67%, it finished Real Betis won (33% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.