RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen prediction — Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
RAAL La Louvière 41Draw 28KV Mechelen 32
The call
74%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured RAAL La Louvière at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. RAAL La Louvière had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Mechelen's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 2.1.

RAAL La…Full-time statsKV Mechelen
34%Possession66%
2.2Expected goals (xG)2.1
14Shots16
5Shots on target7
10Shots inside box13
4Big chances2
1Corners6
5Saves3
10Fouls8
0Offsides5
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultRAAL La Louvière 41%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 74%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
RAAL La Louvière to score76%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
KV Mechelen to score71%

First half — what we expected

RAAL La LouvièreBefore half-timeKV Mechelen
44%Chance to score46%
7.8Expected shots5.0
2.6Expected shots on target2.0
3.1Expected corners1.7
64%Chance of 7+ shots25%
38%Chance of 9+ shots9%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target60%
25%Chance of 4+ shots on target15%
79%Chance of 2+ corners48%
37%Chance of 4+ corners10%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 70%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5RAA 0 · D 0 · MEC 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026RAAL La Louviere 0–2 KV Mechelen
Aug 2025KV Mechelen 3–2 RAAL La Louviere
Oct 2024KV Mechelen 3–1 RAAL La Louviere
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured RAAL La Louvière at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. RAAL La Louvière had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Mechelen's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 2.1.

What was the final score in RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with RAAL La Louvière 41%, the draw 28% and KV Mechelen 32%.

What were the stats in RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–2.1, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 10–13, Big chances 4–2, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

Yes — both RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said RAAL La Louvière 41%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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