FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Friday, 21 August 2026
Standard Liege 2–0 RAAL La LouvièreMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 21 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Standard Liege or draw at 75%. Bawler had Standard Liege at 48%, the draw at 27% and RAAL La Louvière at 25%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Standard Liege win
48%
Result
Draw
27%
RAAL La Louvière win
25%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.0
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.6.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Standard Liege or draw
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 52%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.