Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End prediction — Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 19 Sept · 15:00 UK
Queens Park Rangers 48Draw 26Preston North End 26
The call
74%
Queens Park Rangers or draw
2.8
Goals expected
14d 03hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Queens Park Rangers to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Preston North End to score69%
Under 3.5 goals68%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Queens Park Rangers
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Rayan Kolli
FW · 2.8 shots expected
94%
65%
28%
Richard Kone
FW · 2.7 shots expected
93%
63%
26%
Karamoko Dembélé
MF · 2.4 shots expected
91%
45%
12%
Paul Smyth
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
59%
22%
Harvey Vale
MF · 2.0 shots expected
87%
41%
10%
Rumarn Burrell
FW · 1.9 shots expected
85%
64%
27%
Preston North End
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Lewis Dobbin
FW · 2.1 shots expected
88%
52%
16%
Alfie Devine
MF · 1.9 shots expected
85%
38%
8%
Michael Smith
FW · 1.7 shots expected
81%
42%
10%
Daniel Jebbison
FW · 1.6 shots expected
80%
46%
13%
Milutin Osmajic
FW · 1.4 shots expected
77%
57%
21%
Thierry Small
MF · 1.2 shots expected
69%
38%
8%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W D D W W W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
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Common questions

Who will win Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Bawler's model rates this match: Queens Park Rangers are favoured (48% win probability vs 26% for Preston North End, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Preston North End (12.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.84.

How does Bawler predict Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Queens Park Rangers 48%, the draw 26% and Preston North End 26%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.67 and away expected goals 1.17.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Queens Park Rangers vs Preston North End?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.84. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Queens Park Rangers form →Preston North End form →