FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 17 October 2026

Birmingham City 3–0 Queens Park RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026

Birmingham City
3–0
Birmingham City win
Queens Park Rangers

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was Birmingham City or draw at 74%. Bawler had Birmingham City at 48%, the draw at 26% and Queens Park Rangers at 26%. The match finished 3–0.

Pre-match probability vs result

Birmingham City win
48%
Result
Draw
26%
Queens Park Rangers win
26%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.6 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 55%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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