How it finished
PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. PSV Eindhoven had 28 shots (10 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 10 (6), with 76% of the ball against 24%. Expected goals finished 3.8 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
PSV Eindhoven beat Sparta Rotterdam 4–1. Bawler's model had PSV Eindhoven in front at 73% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. PSV Eindhoven had 28 shots (10 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 10 (6), with 76% of the ball against 24%. Expected goals finished 3.8 to 2.3.
What was the final score in PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PSV Eindhoven 73%, the draw 16% and Sparta Rotterdam 11%.
What were the stats in PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Full-time: Possession 76%–24%, Expected goals (xG) 3.8–2.3, Shots 28–10, Shots on target 10–6, Shots inside box 17–8, Big chances 4–4, Corners 9–5, Saves 4–6, Fouls 6–3, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Yes — both PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PSV Eindhoven to win 73%, it finished PSV Eindhoven won (73% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.