FT · Europe: Champions League · Thursday, 10 September 2026
PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Shakhtar DonetskMatch recap · Thursday, 10 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
PSV Eindhoven win
68%
Draw
19%
Result
Shakhtar Donetsk win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.4 – 1.0
Total 3.4
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.