Portland Timbers vs 
Real Salt Lake
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 82% probability because both sides generate nearly identical attacking threat at 1.57 and 1.59 xG respectively, virtually guaranteeing a multi-goal affair.
Portland TimbersstepReal Salt LakePortland Timbers average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Real Salt Lake average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 2 May 2026, Portland Timbers have won 0, Real Salt Lake have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Portland Timbers 35% · draw 29% · Real Salt Lake 36%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt LakeModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.