Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Philadelphia Union had 14 shots (5 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Philadelphia Union had 14 shots (5 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 21% and Real Salt Lake 19%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.8, Shots 14–11, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 21–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–2.
Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.