Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 00:30 UK
60Philadelphia Union win21Draw19Real Salt Lake win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Philadelphia Union had 14 shots (5 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.

Philadelphia…Full-time statsReal Salt…
52%Possession48%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.8
14Shots11
5Shots on target4
9Shots inside box8
2Big chances0
4Corners3
3Saves3
21Fouls13
0Offsides2
4Yellow cards2
We predicted
2–1
Philadelphia Union to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.2v1.2
3.4 in total
Both teams score
61%
Yes
3+ goals
65%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
2.2Goals1.2
17.1Shots11.0
5.9On target5.6
5.8Corners4.5
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
0.9Goals0.8
7.7Shots4.8
2.7On target2.3
2.7Corners2.1
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1.3Goals0.4
9.4Shots6.2
3.2On target3.3
3.1Corners2.4

What we said the chances were

Philadelphia Union to score89%
2 or more goals85%
Goal before half-time80%
Real Salt Lake to score69%

First half — what we expected

Philadelphia Union
58%
to score before half-time
Real Salt Lake
54%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionReal Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
60%7+ shots24%
37%9+ shots<10%
70%2+ shots on target63%
28%4+ shots on target21%
70%2+ corners58%
30%4+ corners19%

League position

Real Salt Lake in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2024Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake
Jul 2019Real Salt Lake 4–0 Philadelphia Union
May 2018Philadelphia Union 4–1 Real Salt Lake
May 2017Real Salt Lake 1–0 Philadelphia Union
Jul 2016Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Philadelphia Union form →Real Salt Lake form →

Common questions

Who won Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Philadelphia Union had 14 shots (5 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 11 (4), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 21% and Real Salt Lake 19%.

What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.8, Shots 14–11, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 21–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.