Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC prediction — MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 27 Sept · 00:30 UK
60Philadelphia Union win20Draw20Orlando City SC win
Our call before kickoff
60%
Philadelphia Union to win
Landed
Full time
Final 4–2

How it finished

Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 6. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.

Philadelphia…Full-time statsOrlando City
36%Possession64%
2.9Expected goals (xG)1.1
20Shots11
9Shots on target2
13Shots inside box9
6Big chances2
7Corners7
0Saves5
19Fouls13
5Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPhiladelphia Union to win 60%Philadelphia Union won (60% called)
Total goals3.76
Both teams to score67%Yes
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we said the chances were

Philadelphia Union to score91%
2 or more goals89%
Orlando City SC to score74%
Goal before half-time74%
3 or more goals72%
Both teams score67%

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
2.4Goals1.3
23.6Shots11.2
7.0On target5.2
7.2Corners3.8
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
0.9Goals0.4
10.5Shots4.8
3.1On target2.0
3.4Corners1.8
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
1.5Goals0.9
13.0Shots6.4
3.9On target3.1
3.8Corners2.0

Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.

First half — what we expected

Philadelphia Union
59%
to score before half-time
Orlando City SC
36%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionOrlando City SCOrlando City SC
57%10+ shots<10%
38%12+ shots<10%
78%2+ shots on target57%
38%4+ shots on target17%
80%2+ corners50%
43%4+ corners14%

League position

Orlando City SC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Orlando City 4–3 Philadelphia Union
Apr 2025Philadelphia Union 0–0 Orlando City
Feb 2025Orlando City 2–4 Philadelphia Union
Oct 2024Orlando City 2–1 Philadelphia Union
May 2024Philadelphia Union 2–3 Orlando City
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 6. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 20% and Orlando City SC 20%.

What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.1, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 6–2, Corners 7–7, Saves 0–5, Fouls 19–13, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?

Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union to win 60%, it finished Philadelphia Union won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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