Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 6. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 6. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.
Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 20% and Orlando City SC 20%.
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.1, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 6–2, Corners 7–7, Saves 0–5, Fouls 19–13, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union to win 60%, it finished Philadelphia Union won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.