Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals at 81% probability is the play—both sides project 3.03 combined xG with Nashville creator Hany Mukhtar driving 26% of his team's chances.
Orlando City average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). Nashville average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Orlando City vs Nashville — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 21 March 2026, Orlando City have won 0, Nashville have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 21 March 2026 | Nashville 5–0 Orlando City | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Orlando City 32% · draw 30% · Nashville 39%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.