Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK
Orlando City SC 37Draw 24Chicago Fire FC 39
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Chicago Fire FC beat Orlando City SC 1–0. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Orlando City SC had 8 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 5 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.4, so Orlando City SC created the better chances and still lost the game.

Orlando CityFull-time statsChicago Fire
55%Possession45%
0.9Expected goals (xG)0.4
8Shots5
3Shots on target2
5Shots inside box3
2Big chances1
2Corners0
1Saves3
5Fouls4
0Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultChicago Fire FC 39%Chicago Fire FC (39% called)
Total goals3.41
Both teams to score66%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals85%
Chicago Fire FC to score82%
Orlando City SC to score81%
Over 2.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ORL 1 · D 2 · CHI 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Oct 2025Chicago Fire FC 3–1 Orlando City
May 2025Orlando City 1–3 Chicago Fire FC
May 2025Chicago Fire FC 0–0 Orlando City
Jun 2024Orlando City 4–2 Chicago Fire FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Chicago Fire FC beat Orlando City SC 1–0. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Orlando City SC had 8 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 5 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 0.4, so Orlando City SC created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Orlando City SC 0–1 Chicago Fire FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 37%, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire FC 39%.

What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.4, Shots 8–5, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 5–3, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–0, Saves 1–3, Fouls 5–4, Offsides 0–1.

Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?

No. It finished 0–1, so Orlando City SC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Chicago Fire FC 39%, it finished Chicago Fire FC (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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