Nice vs Le Mans prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 5 Sept · 19:45 UK
Nice 51Draw 25Le Mans 24
The call
51%
Nice to win
2.9
Goals expected
13d 18hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Nice or draw76%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
BTTS56%
Nice win to nil27%
Le Mans or draw49%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D D D L D L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5NIC 0 · D 0 · LEL 1

Head to head

Oct 2019Le Mans 3–2 Nice
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Common questions

Who will win Nice vs Le Mans?

Bawler's model rates this match: Nice are favoured (51% win probability vs 24% for Le Mans, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Nice vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Nice 1-1 Le Mans (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.86.

How does Bawler predict Nice vs Le Mans?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Nice 51%, the draw 25% and Le Mans 24%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Nice vs Le Mans?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.73 and away expected goals 1.13.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Nice vs Le Mans?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.86. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
Le Mans
Before this
22 AugHBrest22 D
All fixtures & results →Nice form →Le Mans form →