FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Le Mans 2–2 LensMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Le Mans win
18%
Draw
22%
Result
Lens win
60%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 2.1
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.5 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.