New York City FC vs 
Philadelphia Union
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Philadelphia UnionNew York City average 5.6 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Philadelphia Union average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
Early projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
More predictions for these teams
New York City vs Philadelphia Union — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between New York City and Philadelphia Union — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: New York City 43% · draw 26% · Philadelphia Union 31%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.