New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Sat 8 Aug · 21:30 UK

MLS · Sat 8 Aug · 21:30 UK
New England Revolution 41Draw 32Houston Dynamo FC 28
The call
68%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Houston Dynamo FC beat New England Revolution 2–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. New England Revolution had 9 shots (2 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 13 (7), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.9.

New England…Full-time statsHouston…
48%Possession52%
0.4Expected goals (xG)0.9
9Shots13
2Shots on target7
4Shots inside box6
0Big chances1
9Corners4
5Saves2
10Fouls10
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultNew England Revolution 41%Houston Dynamo FC (28% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score54%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 68%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
New England Revolution to score78%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Houston Dynamo FC to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Houston Dynamo FC beat New England Revolution 2–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 28%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. New England Revolution had 9 shots (2 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 13 (7), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 0.9.

What was the final score in New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC?

New England Revolution 0–2 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New England Revolution 41%, the draw 32% and Houston Dynamo FC 28%.

What were the stats in New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–0.9, Shots 9–13, Shots on target 2–7, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 5–2, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC?

No. It finished 0–2, so New England Revolution failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said New England Revolution 41%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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