Match prediction·USA: MLS·Sunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF

Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.

📊 Win probability
42.3% home28.8% draw28.9% away
📈 xG chain — base → adjustments → final goal estimate
Nashville SCstepInter Miami CF
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Nashville average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Inter Miami average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

🎯 Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Inter Miami CF to win
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

More predictions for these teams

Nashville vs Inter Miami — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 18 March 2026, Nashville have won 0, Inter Miami have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
18 March 2026Inter Miami 11 NashvilleNORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Champions Cup

The model's verdict for this fixture: Nashville 42% · draw 29% · Inter Miami 29%.

Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.

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Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.