Nashville SC vs 
CF Montréal
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 73% because Nashville's 1.56 xG and Montréal's 1.13 xG create a combined attacking threat that consistently breaches the low-scoring threshold.
CF MontréalNashville average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). CF Montréal average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Nashville vs CF Montréal — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Nashville and CF Montréal — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Nashville 44% · draw 31% · CF Montréal 25%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
CF MontréalModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.