Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 74% because Nashville's 1.72 xG dwarfs Atlanta's 1.02—a 0.70-goal gap that creator Hany Mukhtar will look to exploit at home.
Nashville average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Atlanta Utd average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Nashville vs Atlanta Utd — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 18 April 2026, Nashville have won 1, Atlanta Utd have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 18 April 2026 | Atlanta Utd 0–2 Nashville | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Nashville 51% · draw 29% · Atlanta Utd 20%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.