FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Estoril 1–3 MoreirenseMatch recap · Sunday, 25 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Estoril win
46%
Draw
27%
Moreirense win
28%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.