FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Moreirense 2–1 EstrelaMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Moreirense win
37%
Result
Draw
27%
Estrela win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.