FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Saturday, 07 November 2026
Sporting CP 1–0 MoreirenseMatch recap · Saturday, 07 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Sporting CP or Draw✓
Guilherme Liberato 1+ Foul Committed✗
Luis Suárez 1+ Shot on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Sporting CP win
77%
Result
Draw
16%
Moreirense win
7%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.5 – 0.7
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 2.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.