How it finished
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Minnesota United FC had 21 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 6 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 3.6 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 70%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?
Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Minnesota United FC had 21 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 6 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 3.6 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?
Minnesota United FC 3–3 Orlando City SC, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Minnesota United FC 50%, the draw 24% and Orlando City SC 27%.
What were the stats in Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 3.6–1.1, Shots 21–6, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 20–4, Big chances 4–2, Corners 8–1, Saves 2–6, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?
Yes — both Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Minnesota United FC 50%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Landed.