How it finished
Millwall beat Bolton Wanderers 4–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Millwall had 12 shots (5 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 13 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?
Millwall beat Bolton Wanderers 4–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Millwall had 12 shots (5 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 13 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?
Millwall 4–0 Bolton Wanderers, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Millwall 56%, the draw 24% and Bolton Wanderers 20%.
What were the stats in Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.0, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 6–1, Corners 3–9, Saves 4–1, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 8–0, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers?
No. It finished 4–0, so Bolton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 80%, it finished Millwall won (56% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.