Middlesbrough beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0. Middlesbrough had 14 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Middlesbrough beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0. Middlesbrough had 14 shots (6 on target) to Wolverhampton Wanderers' 12 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.6.
Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 42%, the draw 27% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 31%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.6, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 4–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 1–0, so Wolverhampton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.