England: ChampionshipSaturday 29 Aug, 11:30 UTC

Middlesbrough vWest Bromwich Albion

Most likely scoreline
1–0
13% of the time · 2.53 goals expected
Middlesbrough 51%Draw 30%West Bromwich Albion 19%
How we get there
MiddlesbroughstepWest Bromwich Albion
1.63Base xG · rolling 26-match0.90
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.63Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.90

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Middlesbrough average 7.6 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). West Brom average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
7
3
1
1
13
12
5
2
2
11
10
4
1
3
6
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Middlesbrough fixtures & form →West Bromwich Albion fixtures & form →

Middlesbrough vs West Brom — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Middlesbrough and West Brom — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Middlesbrough 51% · draw 30% · West Brom 19%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Middlesbrough predictions & form →West Brom predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.