Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK
Middlesbrough 48Draw 27West Bromwich Albion 24
The call
72%
Over 1.5 goals
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Middlesbrough beat West Bromwich Albion 3–1. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Middlesbrough had 15 shots (6 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 12 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.

MiddlesbroughFull-time statsWest Bromwich…
47%Possession53%
2.5Expected goals (xG)1.4
15Shots12
6Shots on target4
14Shots inside box10
6Big chances3
7Corners6
2Saves4
15Fouls6
3Offsides0
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultMiddlesbrough 48%Middlesbrough (48% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score49%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 72%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Middlesbrough to score78%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
West Bromwich Albion to score63%

First half — what we expected

MiddlesbroughBefore half-timeWest Bromwich Albion
49%Chance to score37%
6.0Expected shots3.7
1.7Expected shots on target0.9
2.4Expected corners1.4
69%Chance of 5+ shots31%
40%Chance of 7+ shots10%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target58%
24%Chance of 3+ shots on target6%
89%Chance of 1+ corners73%
43%Chance of 3+ corners18%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 68%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5MID 5 · D 0 · WES 0
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Jan 2026West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Middlesbrough
Sept 2025Middlesbrough 2–1 West Bromwich Albion
Jan 2025Middlesbrough 2–0 West Bromwich Albion
Oct 2024West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Middlesbrough
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion?

Middlesbrough beat West Bromwich Albion 3–1. Bawler's model had Middlesbrough in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Middlesbrough had 15 shots (6 on target) to West Bromwich Albion's 12 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion?

Middlesbrough 3–1 West Bromwich Albion, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Middlesbrough 48%, the draw 27% and West Bromwich Albion 24%.

What were the stats in Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.4, Shots 15–12, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 14–10, Big chances 6–3, Corners 7–6, Saves 2–4, Fouls 15–6, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion?

Yes — both Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Middlesbrough 48%, it finished Middlesbrough (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 72%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Middlesbrough form →West Bromwich Albion form →