Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1. Manchester United had 12 shots (4 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1. Manchester United had 12 shots (4 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester United 60%, the draw 23% and Tottenham Hotspur 17%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.