Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction — Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 UK
60Manchester United win23Draw17Tottenham Hotspur win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1. Manchester United had 12 shots (4 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.

Manchester…Full-time statsTottenham…
50%Possession50%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.6
12Shots12
4Shots on target3
8Shots inside box8
1Big chances4
4Corners4
2Saves3
13Fouls16
2Offsides2
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Manchester United win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
2.0v1.0
3.0 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
57%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
2.0Goals1.0
19.8Shots11.5
6.7On target4.0
8.0Corners7.6
Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0.9Goals0.4
9.0Shots5.2
2.9On target1.6
3.7Corners3.6
Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
1.1Goals0.6
10.8Shots6.3
3.7On target2.4
4.2Corners4.0

What we said the chances were

Manchester United to score86%
2 or more goals80%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer66%
Tottenham Hotspur to score63%

First half — what we expected

Manchester United
60%
to score before half-time
Tottenham Hotspur
31%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
63%8+ shots19%
41%10+ shots<10%
75%2+ shots on target46%
34%4+ shots on target11%
67%3+ corners64%
33%5+ corners30%

League position

Tottenham Hotspur in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur
Nov 2025Tottenham Hotspur 2–2 Manchester United
May 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Manchester United
Feb 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Manchester United
Dec 2024Tottenham Hotspur 4–3 Manchester United
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Manchester United form →Tottenham Hotspur form →

Common questions

Who won Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1–1. Manchester United had 12 shots (4 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester United 60%, the draw 23% and Tottenham Hotspur 17%.

What were the stats in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Yes — both Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.