How it finished
Lyon beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Lyon had 21 shots (7 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 8 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lyon vs AJ Auxerre?
Lyon beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Lyon had 21 shots (7 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 8 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Lyon vs AJ Auxerre?
Lyon 3–1 AJ Auxerre, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lyon 57%, the draw 24% and AJ Auxerre 19%.
What were the stats in Lyon vs AJ Auxerre?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.7, Shots 21–8, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 14–4, Big chances 3–2, Corners 9–5, Saves 2–5, Fouls 11–8, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Lyon vs AJ Auxerre?
Yes — both Lyon and AJ Auxerre scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lyon vs AJ Auxerre right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lyon or draw 81%, it finished Lyon won (57% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.