What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Lorient vs Toulouse?
Bawler's model rates this match: Lorient are favoured (42% win probability vs 30% for Toulouse, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Toulouse?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Lorient 1-1 Toulouse (13.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.65.
How does Bawler predict Lorient vs Toulouse?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Lorient 42%, the draw 27% and Toulouse 30%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Lorient vs Toulouse?
BTTS: Yes (53% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.46 and away expected goals 1.19.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Lorient vs Toulouse?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.65. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).