Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 13 shots (4 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 12 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 13 shots (4 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 12 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.3.
Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 53%, the draw 24% and Nottingham Forest 23%.
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.3, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 1–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Yes — both Liverpool and Nottingham Forest scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Liverpool 53%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 53%, it finished Missed.