Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK
Liverpool 53Draw 24Nottingham Forest 23
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 13 shots (4 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 12 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.3.

LiverpoolFull-time statsNottingham…
69%Possession31%
1.6Expected goals (xG)2.3
13Shots12
4Shots on target3
8Shots inside box11
1Big chances5
3Corners5
1Saves2
13Fouls10
3Offsides0
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultLiverpool 53%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.04
Both teams to score57%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Landed
Second callHome Win 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Liverpool to score84%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Nottingham Forest to score68%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

LiverpoolBefore half-timeNottingham Forest
61%Chance to score40%
7.1Expected shots4.9
2.7Expected shots on target1.7
2.5Expected corners2.6
69%Chance of 6+ shots37%
42%Chance of 8+ shots14%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target50%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target9%
70%Chance of 2+ corners70%
26%Chance of 4+ corners27%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?

Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Liverpool at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 13 shots (4 on target) to Nottingham Forest's 12 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.3.

What was the final score in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?

Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 53%, the draw 24% and Nottingham Forest 23%.

What were the stats in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.3, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 1–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 13–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?

Yes — both Liverpool and Nottingham Forest scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Liverpool 53%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Liverpool form →Nottingham Forest form →