FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry CityMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Nottingham Forest win
56%
Draw
24%
Coventry City win
20%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.1
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.