Lens vs Lyon prediction — Ligue 1 · Fri 9 Oct · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Fri 9 Oct · 19:45 UK
49Lens win24Draw27Lyon win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Lens beat Lyon 2–1. Lens had 15 shots (7 on target) to Lyon's 13 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.

LensFull-time statsLyon
48%Possession52%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.0
15Shots13
7Shots on target5
12Shots inside box9
2Big chances1
7Corners4
4Saves5
13Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Lens win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.9v1.4
3.2 in total
Both teams score
63%
Yes
3+ goals
63%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LensLensLyonLyon
1.9Goals1.4
13.8Shots16.3
5.9On target7.1
6.1Corners6.1
LensLensLyonLyon
0.7Goals0.8
6.4Shots7.6
2.7On target3.2
2.9Corners2.8
LensLensLyonLyon
1.2Goals0.6
7.3Shots8.7
3.2On target3.8
3.2Corners3.2

What we said the chances were

Lens to score85%
2 or more goals83%
Goal before half-time76%
Lyon to score74%

First half — what we expected

Lens
48%
to score before half-time
Lyon
53%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LensLensLyonLyon
45%7+ shots59%
24%9+ shots36%
71%2+ shots on target80%
30%4+ shots on target40%
72%2+ corners72%
32%4+ corners32%

League position

Lyon in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Lyon 0–4 Lens
Mar 2026Lyon 2–2 Lens
Aug 2025Lens 0–1 Lyon
May 2025Lyon 1–2 Lens
Sept 2024Lens 0–0 Lyon
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Lens form →Lyon form →

Common questions

Who won Lens vs Lyon?

Lens beat Lyon 2–1. Lens had 15 shots (7 on target) to Lyon's 13 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Lens vs Lyon?

Lens 2–1 Lyon, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 49%, the draw 24% and Lyon 27%.

What were the stats in Lens vs Lyon?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 2–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 4–5, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Lens vs Lyon?

Yes — both Lens and Lyon scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.