Lens beat Lyon 2–1. Lens had 15 shots (7 on target) to Lyon's 13 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Lens beat Lyon 2–1. Lens had 15 shots (7 on target) to Lyon's 13 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.
Lens 2–1 Lyon, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 49%, the draw 24% and Lyon 27%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 2–1, Corners 7–4, Saves 4–5, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Lens and Lyon scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.