How it finished
Leeds United and Brentford drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Leeds United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Leeds United had 12 shots (2 on target) to Brentford's 22 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Leeds United vs Brentford?
Leeds United and Brentford drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Leeds United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Leeds United had 12 shots (2 on target) to Brentford's 22 (5), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Leeds United vs Brentford?
Leeds United 1–1 Brentford, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Leeds United 40%, the draw 25% and Brentford 34%.
What were the stats in Leeds United vs Brentford?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.6, Shots 12–22, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 6–18, Big chances 1–2, Corners 5–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 5–13, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–4.
Did both teams score in Leeds United vs Brentford?
Yes — both Leeds United and Brentford scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Leeds United vs Brentford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Leeds United 40%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed.