FT · ENGLAND: Premier League · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Brentford 3–0 Tottenham HotspurMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Brentford or draw at 77%. Bawler had Brentford at 52%, the draw at 25% and Tottenham Hotspur at 23%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Brentford win
52%
Result
Draw
25%
Tottenham Hotspur win
23%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.0 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Brentford or draw
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.