Italy: Serie AMonday 31 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Lecce vAS Roma

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.40 goals expected
Lecce 35%Draw 34%AS Roma 31%
How we get there
LeccestepAS Roma
1.24Base xG · rolling 26-match1.17
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.24Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.17

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Lecce average 4.2 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). Roma average 4.5 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
11
6
2
1
1
11
13
8
3
1
2
7
8
5
2
1
3
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Lecce fixtures & form →AS Roma fixtures & form →

Lecce vs Roma — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 22 March 2026, Lecce have won 0, Roma have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
22 March 2026Roma 1–0 LecceITALY: Serie A

The model's verdict for this fixture: Lecce 35% · draw 34% · Roma 31%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Lecce predictions & form →Roma predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.