Lecce vs AS Roma prediction — Serie A · Mon 31 Aug · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Mon 31 Aug · 17:30 UK
Lecce 19Draw 25AS Roma 56
The call
81%
AS Roma or draw
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–4

How it finished

AS Roma beat Lecce 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Lecce had 7 shots (3 on target) to AS Roma's 15 (8), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.4.

LecceFull-time statsAS Roma
36%Possession64%
0.8Expected goals (xG)3.4
7Shots15
3Shots on target8
3Shots inside box10
2Big chances7
2Corners1
4Saves2
9Fouls8
0Offsides9
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAS Roma 56%AS Roma (56% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score48%No
Model callX2 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
AS Roma to score82%
Under 3.5 goals74%
Over 1.5 goals73%

First half — what we expected

LecceBefore half-timeAS Roma
46%Chance to score58%
4.0Expected shots6.4
1.4Expected shots on target2.1
1.5Expected corners2.3
36%Chance of 5+ shots74%
12%Chance of 7+ shots45%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
16%Chance of 3+ shots on target36%
76%Chance of 1+ corners88%
21%Chance of 3+ corners39%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.8 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lecce vs AS Roma?

AS Roma beat Lecce 4–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Lecce had 7 shots (3 on target) to AS Roma's 15 (8), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 3.4.

What was the final score in Lecce vs AS Roma?

Lecce 0–4 AS Roma, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lecce 19%, the draw 25% and AS Roma 56%.

What were the stats in Lecce vs AS Roma?

Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–3.4, Shots 7–15, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 2–7, Corners 2–1, Saves 4–2, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 0–9, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Lecce vs AS Roma?

No. It finished 0–4, so Lecce failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lecce vs AS Roma right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said AS Roma 56%, it finished AS Roma (56% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No; Model call — we said X2 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Lecce form →AS Roma form →