LAFC vs Portland Timbers prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 03:30 UK
LAFC 60Draw 22Portland Timbers 18
Our call before kickoff
60%
LAFC to win
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

LAFC and Portland Timbers drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. LAFC had 34 shots (11 on target) to Portland Timbers' 8 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

LAFCFull-time statsPortland…
61%Possession39%
34Shots8
11Shots on target2
12Corners0
1Saves10
9Fouls15
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLAFC to win 60%Draw (22% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score55%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LAFCPortland Timbers
2.0
Goals+1.0
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
LAFC to score87%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Portland Timbers to score64%
Under 3.5 goals64%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LAFC 1 · Draws 2 · Portland Timbers 2
Portland Timbers in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Portland Timbers 2–1 Los Angeles FC
Jul 2025Los Angeles FC 0–1 Portland Timbers
Apr 2025Portland Timbers 3–3 Los Angeles FC
Apr 2024Los Angeles FC 3–2 Portland Timbers
Apr 2024Portland Timbers 2–2 Los Angeles FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won LAFC vs Portland Timbers?

LAFC and Portland Timbers drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. LAFC had 34 shots (11 on target) to Portland Timbers' 8 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.

What was the final score in LAFC vs Portland Timbers?

LAFC 1–1 Portland Timbers, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LAFC 60%, the draw 22% and Portland Timbers 18%.

What were the stats in LAFC vs Portland Timbers?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Shots 34–8, Shots on target 11–2, Corners 12–0, Saves 1–10, Fouls 9–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in LAFC vs Portland Timbers?

Yes — both LAFC and Portland Timbers scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for LAFC vs Portland Timbers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC to win 60%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →LAFC form →Portland Timbers form →