LAFC and Portland Timbers drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. LAFC had 34 shots (11 on target) to Portland Timbers' 8 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
LAFC and Portland Timbers drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. LAFC had 34 shots (11 on target) to Portland Timbers' 8 (2), with 61% of the ball against 39%.
LAFC 1–1 Portland Timbers, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with LAFC 60%, the draw 22% and Portland Timbers 18%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Shots 34–8, Shots on target 11–2, Corners 12–0, Saves 1–10, Fouls 9–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both LAFC and Portland Timbers scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC to win 60%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.