Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction — Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
48Hajduk Split win23Draw29Ajax Amsterdam win
Full time
2–1

How it finished

Hajduk Split beat Ajax Amsterdam 2–1. Hajduk Split had 14 shots (8 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (4), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.2.

Hajduk SplitFull-time statsAjax…
43%Possession57%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.2
14Shots12
8Shots on target4
8Shots inside box10
3Big chances2
4Corners5
3Saves6
20Fouls13
6Offsides1
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Hajduk Split win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (9%)
Expected goals
2.0v1.5
3.5 in total
Both teams score
68%
Yes
3+ goals
69%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitAjax AmsterdamAjax Amsterdam
2.0Goals1.5
14.5Shots7.9
5.3On target4.9
4.5Corners5.1
Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitAjax AmsterdamAjax Amsterdam
0.9Goals0.6
6.6Shots3.5
2.4On target2.3
2.1Corners2.4
Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitAjax AmsterdamAjax Amsterdam
1.1Goals0.9
7.9Shots4.4
2.9On target2.6
2.4Corners2.7

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals87%
Hajduk Split to score87%
Ajax Amsterdam to score78%
Goal before half-time78%

First half — what we expected

Hajduk Split
59%
to score before half-time
Ajax Amsterdam
47%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Hajduk SplitHajduk SplitAjax AmsterdamAjax Amsterdam
60%6+ shots19%
35%8+ shots<10%
87%1+ shots on target87%
41%3+ shots on target39%
83%1+ corners87%
35%3+ corners41%

League position

Ajax Amsterdam in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Hajduk Split form →Ajax Amsterdam form →

Common questions

Who won Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Hajduk Split beat Ajax Amsterdam 2–1. Hajduk Split had 14 shots (8 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (4), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hajduk Split 48%, the draw 23% and Ajax Amsterdam 29%.

What were the stats in Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.2, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 3–2, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 20–13, Offsides 6–1, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in Hajduk Split vs Ajax Amsterdam?

Yes — both Hajduk Split and Ajax Amsterdam scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.