Hajduk Split beat Ajax Amsterdam 2–1. Hajduk Split had 14 shots (8 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (4), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Hajduk Split beat Ajax Amsterdam 2–1. Hajduk Split had 14 shots (8 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (4), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.2.
Hajduk Split 2–1 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Hajduk Split 48%, the draw 23% and Ajax Amsterdam 29%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.2, Shots 14–12, Shots on target 8–4, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 3–2, Corners 4–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 20–13, Offsides 6–1, Yellow cards 2–0.
Yes — both Hajduk Split and Ajax Amsterdam scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.