FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
FC Thun 0–1 Hajduk SplitMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Thun win
33%
Draw
24%
Hajduk Split win
43%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.7
Total 3.3
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.