FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Lincoln Red Imps 1–0 Hajduk SplitMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Hajduk Split or Draw✗
Hajduk Split Over 14.5 Shots✓
Hajduk Split Over 3.5 Shots on Target✗
Hajduk Split Over 2.5 Corners✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln Red Imps win
16%
Result
Draw
22%
Hajduk Split win
62%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.0 – 2.1
Total 3.0
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.2 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.