Goztepe vs Caykur Rizespor prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 20 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 20 Sept · 18:00 UK
Goztepe 50Draw 25Caykur Rizespor 25
The call
75%
Goztepe or draw
2.9
Goals expected
14d 08hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Goztepe to score82%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Caykur Rizespor to score69%
Under 3.5 goals67%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025/26 season in this competition.

Goztepe
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Janderson
FW · 2.9 shots expected
94%
65%
28%
Juan
FW · 2.4 shots expected
91%
67%
31%
Efkan Bekiroglu
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
45%
12%
Rhaldney
MF · 1.4 shots expected
75%
38%
8%
Novatus Miroshi
MF · 1.4 shots expected
74%
26%
4%
Héliton
DF · 1.3 shots expected
73%
26%
4%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)D W L D L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Opponent strength indexUpper mid
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Common questions

Who will win Goztepe vs Caykur Rizespor?

Bawler's model rates this match: Goztepe are favoured (50% win probability vs 25% for Caykur Rizespor, 25% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Goztepe vs Caykur Rizespor?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Goztepe 1-1 Caykur Rizespor (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.92.

How does Bawler predict Goztepe vs Caykur Rizespor?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Goztepe 50%, the draw 25% and Caykur Rizespor 25%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Goztepe vs Caykur Rizespor?

BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.74 and away expected goals 1.18.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Goztepe vs Caykur Rizespor?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.92. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Goztepe form →Caykur Rizespor form →