FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Friday, 16 October 2026
Çorum FK 2–1 Caykur RizesporMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 16 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Çorum FK or draw at 76%. Bawler had Çorum FK at 53%, the draw at 24% and Caykur Rizespor at 24%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Çorum FK win
53%
Result
Draw
24%
Caykur Rizespor win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.2
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 82%
Landed
Medium confidence
Çorum FK to win
Pre-match: 53%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 39%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.