Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 24 Aug · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 24 Aug · 20:15 UK
Gil Vicente 61Draw 24Casa Pia 16
The call
61%
Gil Vicente to win
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Gil Vicente beat Casa Pia 2–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 8 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

Gil VicenteFull-time statsCasa Pia
56%Possession44%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
8Shots13
4Shots on target2
6Shots inside box7
3Big chances1
3Corners4
2Saves2
11Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultGil Vicente 61%Gil Vicente (61% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score47%No
Model callHome Win 61%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 50%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Gil Vicente to score84%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5GIL 1 · D 3 · CAS 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026Gil Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia AC
Dec 2025Casa Pia AC 1–1 Gil Vicente
Feb 2025Casa Pia AC 1–0 Gil Vicente
Sept 2024Gil Vicente 1–1 Casa Pia AC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Gil Vicente beat Casa Pia 2–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Gil Vicente had 8 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 13 (2), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gil Vicente 61%, the draw 24% and Casa Pia 16%.

What were the stats in Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 8–13, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

No. It finished 2–0, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Gil Vicente 61%, it finished Gil Vicente (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No; Model call — we said Home Win 61%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 50%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Gil Vicente form →Casa Pia form →